文's profileWould you be happierPhotosBlogListsMore Tools Help

Blog


    November 07

    关注银根的几个数据

    很久没继续转载阿呆的大作了,今天找了两篇更新继续转载下去。
     
    ===============================================

    中俄欲建国际货币体系
    2008-10-29 13:31发表
           国务院总理温家宝28日在莫斯科举行的第三届中俄经济工商界高峰论坛开幕式上发表题为《携手开创中俄经贸合作新局面》的致辞。他指出,建立国际金融新秩序是当务之急,也是有利时机。他说要加快推进多元化国际货币体系建设。
        这就厉害了,说白了,就是不要美元当国际货币了。
        前一阵我说到:以后做世界货币?1、回到金本位;2、欧元+人民币体系;3、以石油为主的商品货币体系;4、天才会有其他办法的。
        现在看来,中俄要建立一套新的国际货币体系,我们要俄罗斯的石油,俄罗斯需要中国的轻工业,找个等价物就成,根本不需要美元进行结算。怎么搞法,慢慢看了。
        如果能预见怎么发展,加上胆量,一定能发财。

    关注银根的几个数据
    2008-11-07 13:32发表
           股市说到底是资本的游戏,市场有钱了,自然才能涨上去。华尔街名言,要有购买才能抬升股价。要购买,就要花钱,钱从哪儿来的?人民银行印出来的呗。说的学术一点,就货币供应,习惯上称为银根。银根松了,市场有钱了,才有钱买股票,股票才能涨。
          银根松紧看四个方面:1、存款准备金率;2、利率;3、央票;4、贴现利率。
          存款准备金率:05年6月6日(998点的时候)为7.5%,现在是17%;
          存款利率:05年6月6日2.25%,现在为3.87%。
         另外两个数据对他们没有概念,从以上两个方面看,银根还紧的很,所以说股票的另一轮牛市,还早。
          现在国家害怕通货膨胀,对于银根,还不松,老用啥财政措施,说什么减税,哪能减的下来啊。房地产市场一下来,地方政府没地卖了,没钱了,还要让他少收税,还不如杀了他呢。最后阿,还是只能靠松银根。
          现在通胀压力轻了,原先喊控通胀、保增长,现在只要保增长了,松银根是自然的了。存款准备金率下降,存款利率下降,一直降到05年6月6日水平或者相差不大了,咱就放心大胆的买股票去。需要多久?半年?一年?到时再说。     

    Comments

    Please wait...
    Sorry, the comment you entered is too long. Please shorten it.
    You didn't enter anything. Please try again.
    Sorry, we can't add your comment right now. Please try again later.
    To add a comment, you need permission from your parent. Ask for permission
    Your parent has turned off comments.
    Sorry, we can't delete your comment right now. Please try again later.
    You've exceeded the maximum number of comments that can be left in one day. Please try again in 24 hours.
    Your account has had the ability to leave comments disabled because our systems indicate that you may be spamming other users. If you believe that your account has been disabled in error please contact Windows Live support.
    Complete the security check below to finish leaving your comment.
    The characters you type in the security check must match the characters in the picture or audio.

    To add a comment, sign in with your Windows Live ID (if you use Hotmail, Messenger, or Xbox LIVE, you have a Windows Live ID). Sign in


    Don't have a Windows Live ID? Sign up

    Trackbacks

    The trackback URL for this entry is:
    http://zorra77.spaces.live.com/blog/cns!EF5F76D5B518D3F4!340.trak
    Weblogs that reference this entry
    • None